Lessons From Illinois’ Slow-Growth Market Cycle: How Small Developers Navigate Long Absorption Times
Illinois operates within a slower-growth real estate cycle compared to many coastal or Sun Belt states. While regions like Florida or Texas often experience rapid expansions followed by sharp contractions, Illinois tends to follow a more moderate path—steady but restrained demand, consistent but not explosive price growth, and demographic trends that evolve gradually. For small developers, this presents both advantages and challenges. The slower pace can provide stability, but it also demands financial discipline, careful planning, and a deep understanding of long absorption times. Illinois’ slow-growth cycle is rooted in several structural factors. The state’s population growth has stagnated, with some years even showing net outmigration. Property taxes are among the highest in the nation, adding significant long-term costs to ownership and investor activity. Insurance pressures, though less dramatic than in high-risk coastal states, still contribute to rising costs. And unlik...